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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 202044
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 16.2N 128.4W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 20 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 18.1N 131.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 21.0N 133.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 24.5N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KENNETH NEAR 27.0N 136.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 28.7N 
136.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20...

.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 130W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 108W N OF 09N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N91W TO 09N98W TO 10N104W TO 
09N110W TO 09N113W TO 07N120W. IT RESUMES FROM 13N130W TO 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.